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Mister P gets married

Jeff, Justin, and I write:

Gay marriage is not going away as a highly emotional, contested issue. Proposition 8, the California ballot measure that bans same-sex marriage, has seen to that, as it winds its way through the federal courts. But perhaps the public has reached a turning point.

And check out the (mildly) dynamic graphics. The picture below is ok but for the full effect you have to click through and play the movie.

map5.png

5 Comments

  1. Jeff Lax says:

    And you can look up your (least) favorite state in the chart here:
    http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2010/08/22/wee

  2. Ken Williams says:

    If Mr. P gets married, perhaps it should be to Multilevel Regression for Statistical Prediction. They have a lot in common, after all.

  3. Ken Williams says:

    After I posted that last comment, I realized I missed the boat – and I'm a card-carrying member of the HRC and everything! So now I think if Mister P gets married it should be to Multilevel Regression and Analysis. In Iowa. Or something.

  4. Skeptical says:

    The time scroll is somewhat misleading because there are two 2010 graphs. I was also impressed by the jump from 36% to 45% until I saw the word "assuming".

  5. Andrew Gelman says:

    Skeptical:

    I don't remember exactly how we phrased it in the article, but 45% is the best estimate based on recent trends in national polls. Or you can use 50% which comes from the recent CNN poll. 45% is the estimate we think is best supported by the data.