P.S. I don’t make any money through this link. We do get some royalties from the book, but only a very small amount. I’m pushing the Amazon link right now because (a) I think the book is great, and I want as many people as possible to have it, and (b) 40% off is a pretty good deal and I don’t know how long this will last.
P.P.S. Just so this post has some statistical content, here’s one of my favorite papers, Bayesian model-building by pure thought: some principles and examples. It’s from 1996, and here’s the abstract: