Lee Sechrest pointed me to this news article by Vitomir Miles Raguz, “Brazil Won’t Win the World Cup. A European team will win again thanks to training and statistical analysis.”
Hmmm . . . “statistical analysis.” This Raguz character better coordinate stories with Nate; it seems that the statistical experts are disagreeing . . .
Much of the article is reasonable enough, I suppose (I’m not enough of a soccer expert to say more), but this bit raised some flags for me (and not in a good way):
Also pay close attention to how European teams make substitutions. If they do it at, say, the seemingly arbitrary 58-, 73- and 79-minute marks, you can safely bet that a quant is involved in game mapping. Empirical studies have shown that fresh legs around these specific points have a statistically significant impact on team performance.
The 58-minute mark, indeed! I could be wrong, but this looks a bit like numerology to me.