Crimes Against Data

Statistics has been described as the science of uncertainty. But, paradoxically, statistical methods are often used to create a sense of certainty where none should exist. The social sciences have been rocked in recent years by highly publicized claims, published in top journals, that were reported as “statistically significant” but are implausible and indeed could not be replicated by independent research teams. Can statistics dig its way out of a hole of its own construction? Yes, but it will take work.

Thursday, September 22, 2016 – 3:00pm

Location: EA 170

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Solving Statistics Problems Using Stan

Stan is a free and open-source probabilistic programming language and Bayesian inference engine. In this talk, we demonstrate the use of Stan for some small fun problems and then discuss some open problems in Stan and in Bayesian computation and Bayesian inference more generally.

Friday, September 23, 2016 at 11:30 am

411 West Hall

Welcome Reception at 11:00am in the Statistics Lounge, 450 WH

For those of us down under — are these talks ever recorded or “webinarised”? Seems that something that is so actively under development should share the love — and recoup some costs. Feeling like the wrong end of a p-value here :)

Llewelyn:

If you Google video search *andrew gelman crimes against data*, you’ll see some version of the first talk. I don’t seem to have any Stan talks accessible on Google, but I will actually be doing a Stan webinar next month, so maybe there’s a way for you to join in. Maybe we’ll be announcing it on the blog.

Excellent — thanks :)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fc1hkFC2c1E and also (just very recently uploaded) https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=a5-JeEkoWrA

I shared Richard’s sentiments. I am in Los Angeles and would love to have access to the talks, seminars, etc. Figure a cost model (with Stan of course) that makes economic sense and share the information wealth.

If you happen to get an OSU shirt on Thursday, don’t wear it on Friday. That might not go over too well.

Wish I could be there for OSU talk!