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Interesting epi paper using Stan

Jon Zelner writes:

Just thought I’d send along this paper by Justin Lessler et al. Thought it was both clever & useful and a nice ad for using Stan for epidemiological work.

Basically, what this paper is about is estimating the true prevalence and case fatality ratio of MERS-CoV [Middle East Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus Infection] using data collected via a mix of passive and active surveillance, which if treated naively will result in an overestimate of case fataility and underestimate of burden b/c only the most severe cases are caught via passive surveillance. All of the interesting modeling details are in the supplementary information.

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