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When experts disagree – plot them along with their uncertainties.

This plot is perhaps an interesting start to pinning down experts (extracting their views and their self assessed uncertainties) – contrasting and comparing them and then providing some kind off overall view. Essentially get experts to express their best estimate and its uncertainty as an interval and then pool these intervals _weighting_ by a pre-test […]

What’s most cool – the question mark in the name or the modelling of zombies?

Some recent interest has been raised by the following publication zombies by an seemingly unknown author – well not quite Smith? I have not had anything to do with predator/prey models since reading Gregory Bateson’s Steps towards an Ecology of Mind – but a question mark in one’s name – that just too cool to […]