Stan 2.7 is now available for all interfaces. As usual, everything you need can be found starting from the Stan home page: http://mc-stan.org/ Highlights RStan is on CRAN!(1) Variational Inference in CmdStan!!(2) Two new Stan developers!!! A whole new logo!!!! Math library with autodiff now available in its own repo!!!!! (1) Just doing install.packages(“rstan”) isn’t […]
Rasmus “ticket to” Bååth writes: I heeded your call to construct a Stan model of the height of Kit “Snow” Harrington. The response on Gawker has been poor, unfortunately, but here it is, anyway. Yeah, I think the people at Gawker have bigger things to worry about this week. . . . Here’s Rasmus’s inference […]
Stan is Turing complete.
Aki, Jonah, and I have released the much-discussed paper on LOO and WAIC in Stan: Efficient implementation of leave-one-out cross-validation and WAIC for evaluating fitted Bayesian models. We (that is, Aki) now recommend LOO rather than WAIC, especially now that we have an R function to quickly compute LOO using Pareto smoothed importance sampling. In […]
Bob Carpenter, Daniel Lee, and I are giving a 3-day short course in two weeks. Before class everyone should install R, RStudio and RStan on their computers. If problems occur please join the stan-users group and post any questions. It’s important that all participants get Stan running and bring their laptops to the course. Class […]
Thanks to Robert Grant, we now have a Stata interface! For more details, see: Robert Grant’s Blog: Introducing StataStan Jonah and Ben have already kicked the tires, and it works. We’ll be working on it more as time goes on as part of our Institute of Education Sciences grant (turns out education researchers use […]
Logo design by Michael Betancourt and Stephanie Mannheim. P.S. Some commenters suggested the top of the S above is too large, but I wonder if that’s just because I’ve posted the logo in a large format. On the screen it would typically be smaller, something like this, which appears a bit more tasteful:
While Bob travels to Boston-ish, I’ll be giving two Stan workshops in Southern California. I’m excited to be back on the west coast for a few days — I grew up not too far away. Both workshops are open, but space is limited. Follow the links for registration. UCLA Social Statistics Seminar Series, 6/23, 10 […]
We interrupt our regularly scheduled programming for a special announcement. Madeleine Davies writes: “Here are some photos of Kit Harington. Do you know how tall he is?” I’m reminded, of course, of our discussion of the height of professional tall person Jon Lee Anderson: Full Bayes, please. I can’t promise publication on Gawker, but I’ll […]
JuliaCon is coming to Cambridge, MA the geek capital of the East Coast: 24–27 June. Here’s the conference site with program. I (Bob) will be giving a 10 minute “lightning talk” on Stan.jl, the Julia interface to Stan (built by Rob J. Goedman — I’m just pinch hitting because Rob couldn’t make it). The uptake […]
Edo Navot writes: Are there any plans in the works to update your book with Prof. Hill on hierarchical models to a new edition with example code in Stan? Yes, we are planning to break it up into 2 books and do all the modeling for both books in Stan. It’s waiting on some new […]
Bob writes: I would highly recommend two books that changed the way I thought about GUI design (though I’ve read a lot of them): * Jeff Johnson. GUI Bloopers. I read the first edition in book form and the second in draft form (the editor contacted me based on my enthusiastic Amazon feedback, which was […]
Fränzi and Tobias‘s book is now real: Fränzi Korner-Nievergelt, Tobias Roth, Stefanie von Felten, Jérôme Guélat, Bettina Almasi, and Pius Korner-Nievergelt (2015) Bayesian Data Analysis in Ecology Using Linear Models with R, BUGS, and Stan. Academic Press. This is based in part on the in-person tutorials that they and the other authors have been giving […]
To continue from today’s class, here’s what we’ll be discussing next time: – Estimating the direction and the magnitude of the discrimination parameters. – How to tell when your data don’t fit the model. – When does ideal-point modeling make a difference? Comparing ideal-point estimates to simple averages of survey responses. P.S. Unlike the previous […]
Ummmm, running Stan, testing out a new method we have that applies EP-like ideas to perform inference with aggregate data—it’s really cool, I’ll post more on it once we’ve tried everything out and have a paper that’s in better shape—anyway, I’m starting with a normal example, a varying-intercept, varying-slope model where the intercepts have population […]
Mapping and control. Or, as we would say, descriptive and causal inference. Jon Zelner informs os about two ongoing research projects: 1. TB Hotspot Mapping: Over the summer, I [Zelner] put together a really simple R package to do non-parametric disease mapping using the distance-based mapping approach developed by Caroline Jeffery and Al Ozonoff at […]
The next Stan meetup in NYC is on Tuesday, 4/7/2015. If you have installation issues, modeling trouble, or just want to pick some of the developers’ brains, show up. Free. Registration required: http://www.meetup.com/Stan-Users-NYC/events/221561385/ P.S. Boston, Stan meetups are coming your way.
You’ll have to read the New Yorker article on Richard M. Stallman and the The GNU Manifesto by Maria Bustillos to find out! And what’s up with Tim O’Reilly’s comments about the Old Testment vs. New Testament? That’s an ad hominem attack of the highest order, guaranteed to get the Judeo-Christians even more riled […]
Jonah writes: First of all, every time I type ‘shinyapps’ the autocorrect replaces it with ‘chin-ups’. It was amusing but now it’s just annoying. You’d think Apple would have added the ability for the autocorrect to notice that I keep changing it back to “shinyapps” without making me manually add it as an exception. That’s […]
My talk tomorrow (Thurs) at MIT political science: Recent challenges and developments in Bayesian modeling and computation (from a political and social science perspective)
It’s 1pm in room E53-482. I’ll talk about the usual stuff (and some of this too, I guess).