Mon: Use of Jeffreys prior in estimating climate sensitivity

Tues: Hierarchical modeling when you have only 2 groups: I still think it’s a good idea, you just need an informative prior on the group-level variation

Wed: I definitely wouldn’t frame it as “To determine if the time series has a change-point or not.” The time series, whatever it is, has a change point at every time. The question might be, “Is a change point necessary to model these data?” That’s a question I could get behind.

Thurs: Actually, I’d just do full Bayes

Fri: “Baby Boomer” as all-purpose insult

Sat: 1 cool trick for defining conditional probability

Sun: In defense of endless arguments